A US combat search-and-rescue mission is active in Iran’s Khuzestan province after an F-15E fighter jet was shot down. The market for “US forces enter Iran by April 30” has surged to 86% YES, up from 62% in the last 24 hours. The confirmed US military activity in Iran has driven the market’s reaction. The April 30 market spiked, indicating expectations of ongoing or expanded operations. The December 31 market is at 90.5% YES, reflecting a belief in a prolonged US presence. The 24-point rise in April’s odds suggests traders…
US military activity in Iran drives prediction market surge for troop presence
