Samsung Electronics reported Q1 net profit of 47.1T won, beating expectations on the strength of its chip division and the start of HBM4 mass production for NVIDIA’s platform. The Polymarket contract on NVIDIA being the largest company by market cap on June 30 sits at 85.5% YES, down from 92% a day ago. The April 30 market holds at 99.9% YES, effectively pricing NVIDIA’s near-term position as a lock. The June 30 market tells a different story: a drop from 92% to 85.5% YES in 24 hours. That 10-point decline…
Day: April 30, 2026
Trump reviews US troop levels in Germany amid Iran standoff
Donald Trump announced a review of US troop levels in Germany, adding a new variable to the US-Iran standoff. The odds for a US declaration of war on Iran by December 31, 2026, sit at 7.5% YES. Market reaction The review signals a possible shift in US military posture that could affect markets tied to the Iran conflict. On the US declaration of war on Iran by December 31, 2026 contract, odds have dipped slightly from 8% yesterday, a minor move in trader sentiment. The April 30 market is flat…