Strategy buys 3,273 Bitcoin for $255M, reinforcing institutional demand

Strategy purchased 3,273 BTC for $255 million at an average price of $77,906 per coin, and the Polymarket contract for Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026 sits at 4.9% YES, unchanged from previous days. Market reaction Traders in the Bitcoin $200K by 2026 market have not repriced the contract following the announcement. The purchase reinforces institutional demand at current price levels, which reduces the probability of a drop to $60,000 in April. Daily trading volume on the contract is $505 in USDC against a $10,272 daily face value, meaning…

Bitcoin Price Advances Toward $80K, Upside Break Now In Focus

Bitcoin price started a fresh increase and cleared the $78,500 zone. BTC is consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $79,200 level. Bitcoin managed to stay above $76,000 and started a fresh increase. The price is trading above $78,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $78,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $78,250 and $77,500 levels. Bitcoin Price Eyes More Gains…

Bitcoin hits $78,000 amid US-Iran tensions, traders eye ETF flows

Bitcoin reached $78,000 as US-Iran tensions pushed traders into crypto, though the probability of a dip to $60,000 in April remains low given current conditions. Market reaction The April 30 market closes in less than a week. Exact odds on the dip aren’t specified, but Bitcoin’s consolidation between $74,000 and $80,000 points to strong support, driven by geopolitical tensions and ETF flows. The Bitcoin Price Predictions for 2026 market sits at a static 4.9% YES for reaching $200,000 by the end of 2026. Why it matters The term structure in…

Bitcoin sharks accumulate 37,920 BTC as Middle East tensions ease

Bitcoin sharks have amassed over 37,920 BTC as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East ease, according to Trading View. The market for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April sits at a low probability, while the odds of Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by the end of 2026 are at 4.9% YES. Market reaction The Middle East ceasefire shifted market sentiment to “risk-on,” pushing Bitcoin’s price from $65,834 to around $78,000. Combined with institutional inflows, this has reduced the likelihood of Bitcoin falling to $60,000 in April. The December 2026 market for Bitcoin…

Bitcoin rally stalls amid Japanese inflation and Iran tensions

Bitcoin’s recent rally paused as rising Japanese inflation and ongoing Iran war tensions introduced market uncertainty. The likelihood of Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April sits at 0% YES, and odds on the Bitcoin price on April 24 market show 0.1% YES for Bitcoin trading below $68,000. Market reaction The 0.1% YES odds are unchanged from 24 hours ago. Traders are not pricing in a dramatic price drop, even with geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures in play. Volume is minimal: just $55 in actual USDC traded, which points to low…

Hyperliquid whale shorts Bitcoin, nets $5.8M as price falls to $77,480

A Hyperliquid whale shorted Bitcoin at $102,470 and has gained $5.85 million as Bitcoin dropped to $77,480. The trade has traders watching whether Bitcoin could fall to $60,000 by the end of April. Market reaction The short position coincides with geopolitical tensions from the US-Iran conflict, which has added to Bitcoin’s volatility. With Bitcoin at $77,480, more traders are betting on further declines. The market for Bitcoin reaching $60,000 by end of April is drawing interest, though specific odds aren’t available. The whale’s profitable short reflects broader bearish sentiment. Why…

VTB Bank predicts Bitcoin to hit $250K, market remains skeptical

VTB Bank, Russia’s second-largest state-owned bank, forecasts Bitcoin hitting $250,000 in the medium term, but the Polymarket contract for “Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026” sits at 4.9% YES, unchanged over the past week. ## Market reaction The December 31 market has not moved despite the forecast. It remains at 4.9% YES with 251 days left for resolution. The prediction coincides with a crypto bill advancing in Russia’s State Duma, but traders have not repriced the contract. ## Why it matters Daily trading volume is $505 in USDC, and…

Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs see $37.8M inflows amid US-Iran tensions

Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs attracted $14.45M and $23.38M in inflows respectively on April 24, while the Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April market sits at 0% YES. Continued inflows into Bitcoin ETFs work against the likelihood of Bitcoin falling to $60,000 this month. The Bitcoin dip to $60,000 market remains inactive. Institutional buyers appear to be treating Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset during U.S.-Iran tensions. The Bitcoin all-time high by June 30 market is at 3.5% YES, up from 3% yesterday. Those low odds show traders doubt a new…