Tag: trump

Trump warns Iran of catastrophe without deal in 12 hours

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President Trump warned that Iran faces a “catastrophe” if it doesn’t accept a deal within 12 hours. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 15 market is at 99.6% YES, up from 14% yesterday. The threat is moving related markets. The ceasefire by April 30 market is at 99.5% YES, up from 36% a week ago. The term structure shows traders expect resolution imminently, with odds converging across timelines. The Iranian regime fall by June 30 market sits at 8.5% YES, down from 12% yesterday, suggesting traders are discounting immediate regime change…

Bitcoin Reclaims $72K After Trump Announces Iran Ceasefire

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Iran’s Supreme National Security Council on Wednesday accepted a two-week ceasefire in its war against the US, but emphasized this did not mean an end to the war. The price of Bitcoin pushed past $72,000 for the first time in 20 days after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire. “I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks,” Trump said in a Truth Social post on Tuesday, hours before his deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz or…

Bitcoin jumps above $72K after Trump signals pause in Iran strikes

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Bitcoin surged more than 5% on Tuesday evening, climbing above $72,500 after President Donald Trump said on Truth Social that the US would suspend bombing Iran for two weeks if Tehran agrees to the complete, immediate, and safe reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The move lifted broader risk sentiment across crypto and global markets. Crypto assets rallied on the news, with bitcoin climbing back above $72,500 for the first time since mid March. Ether followed, rising more than 7% to around $2,260, while Solana gained 8% to nearly $87…

Bitcoin slips after Trump warns Iran’s civilization could be destroyed

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Bitcoin’s price dropped back below $68,000 on Tuesday as geopolitical uncertainty surged after US President Donald Trump issued a stark warning to Iran of potential destruction, saying “a whole civilization will die tonight.” “I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will,” Trump wrote on Truth Social in the early morning. He added that with a “complete and total regime change” in place, there was potential for positive developments, and called the moment one of the most important in Iran’s recent history. “47 years of extortion, corruption, and death,…

Paula White: Christians support Trump for protection against secularism, the moral implications of military force, and the silence of religious leaders on political actions

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Key takeaways Many Christians support Trump due to his perceived protection of their religious interests against secularism. Taking resources by force is fundamentally wrong and undermines civilized society principles. The silence of American Christian leaders on political actions they view as immoral is concerning. Rejection of biblical principles leads to self-destruction and societal harm. Easter is central to Christian belief, emphasizing victory over death. The president’s statement on military force against civilian infrastructure constitutes a moral and war crime. The president’s message on military engagement is revealing and vile. Bombing…

Trump claims Iran’s leadership is more moderate, but traders remain skeptical: FT

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Trump asserts Iran’s leadership has become more moderate following a regime change. The market for the Iranian regime falling by June 30 shows 13.5% YES, down from 20% last week. Traders doubt Trump’s statement, as reports indicate Mojtaba Khamenei, a hardliner, is consolidating power. The June 30 market reflects expectations of stability, not collapse. Odds shifted slightly in the past day, with a notable spike from 12% to 14% at 7:21 PM. Trading volume is at $59,602 daily. It would take $195,733 to shift odds by 5 points, hinting at…

Ceasefire odds plummet as Trump threatens Iran, traders eye May for movement

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Trump’s threat of strikes on Iran and Iran’s warning of retaliation have plummeted ceasefire odds. The April 7 ceasefire market sits at 1.1% YES, down from 2% yesterday and 12% a week ago. The market’s drop shows traders’ pessimism amid escalating tensions. The April 15 market is at 6.5% YES, down from 22% a week ago. April 30 odds are at 17.5%, falling from 40% last week. Traders see potential movement after April 30, with odds jumping 19 points by May 31. This suggests a possible catalyst in that period,…

Trump gives Iran 48 hours to negotiate deal as ceasefire odds plummet to 1%

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President Trump has given Iran 48 hours to reach a deal, warning of severe consequences otherwise. The odds of a ceasefire by April 7 have dropped to 1% YES, down from 2% yesterday. Traders are reacting to the ultimatum by lowering immediate ceasefire odds. The April 7 market reflects a slim chance of resolution, trading at 1% YES with just four days left. The April 15 market is at 6.5% YES, down from 8%, showing little confidence in a quick de-escalation. The April 30 market has dropped to 17.5% YES,…

EU tariffs on US goods by September 30 loom as Trump escalates trade tensions

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Trump’s reputation as a dealmaker challenging major powers stirs trade tensions. The odds of the EU imposing retaliatory tariffs on US goods by September 30 are rising, driven by his aggressive trade policies. Trump bypasses multilateral channels, opting for direct negotiations and economic threats, including tariffs. While the EU hasn’t acted yet, the chance of retaliatory tariffs grows as Trump pushes his agenda. The market remains cautious. With no current trading volume, traders may be waiting for concrete actions from the EU Commission or USTR. The September 30 deadline looms,…

Trump continues talks despite Iran downing two US jets; ceasefire odds drop to 1.1%

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Trump continues negotiations despite Iran shooting down two US jets. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 are at 1.1% YES, down from 12% last week. Markets show skepticism about Trump’s diplomatic push. The April 7 market holds at 1.1% YES. The April 15 market sits at 6.5% YES, indicating slight optimism. The April 30 market shows more confidence, with odds at 17.5% YES. Traders see little chance of an immediate resolution. A 19-point jump between April 30 and May 31 suggests expectations of a catalyst in May.…