Tag: Iran

Joe kent claims US wants quick end to Iran conflict, Israel disagrees

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Joe Kent’s comments suggest the US seeks a swift resolution to the Iran conflict. The odds of a ceasefire by April 7 have dropped to 8% YES from 10% in the last 24 hours. Kent’s remarks indicate internal US disagreement on the war’s duration, hinting at a diplomatic shift. The April 30 ceasefire market rose 2 points to 38% YES, suggesting traders expect changes in late April. The April 15 market is at 18% YES, down from 20% yesterday. The May 31 market stands at 56% YES, indicating a longer…

Trump rules out US ground troops in Iran, ceasefire odds nudge up

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Trump’s announcement that the US will not send ground troops into Iran nudges the ceasefire odds slightly higher. The “US x Iran ceasefire by April 30” market now sits at 38.5% YES, up from 36% yesterday. In Polymarket’s US x Iran ceasefire markets, the April 7 odds remain low at 8.5% YES, down from 10% a day ago, showing skepticism about an immediate resolution. The April 15 market also drops to 18.5% YES. However, Trump’s focus on ending the war without a ground invasion has provided some optimism for a…

Trump to announce Iran ceasefire talks amid troop withdrawal discussions

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President Trump plans to announce progress in Iran’s military campaign, with potential troop withdrawals and a ceasefire if Iran offers concessions. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 is at 8% YES, down from 10% yesterday and 26% a week ago. Traders in the April 7 market remain skeptical, with odds dropping. The April 15 market is at 18% YES, down from 20% yesterday. The April 30 market rose to 38% YES from 36%, suggesting traders expect developments by mid-April. The biggest jump is between April 15 and April 30, a…

Iran warns against infrastructure attacks amid war escalation

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Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian stated that Iran harbors no hostility toward Americans, but cautioned against attacks on its infrastructure. Ceasefire by April 7 is at 8% YES, down from 10% yesterday. President Pezeshkian’s warning comes during ongoing hostilities in the 2026 Iran War, following a joint U.S.-Israel military operation. The markets reacted with skepticism, dropping the April 7 ceasefire odds from 10% to 8% in the last 24 hours. The April 15 odds also slipped, sitting at 20% YES, while the April 30 market is at 38% YES, signaling muted…

Bitcoin, Stocks Pile On Gains As US, Iran Consider Ending War

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Bitcoin held gains above $68,000 as investors leaned into news that the US and Iran were ideating ways to end the war. Will markets hold their newfound bullishness? Bitcoin (BTC) briefly jumped to $68,589, and US stock markets rallied as investors reacted to US President Donald Trump’s statements on considering options for ending the US and Israel-Iran war. Separate, unconfirmed comments attributed to Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian also suggested that Iran may be looking for ways to end the war.  On Tuesday, reporting from The Wall Street Journal said that…

Trump Signals Possible US Withdrawal from Iran Within Weeks

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“We’re finishing the job, and I think within maybe two weeks, maybe a couple of days longer to do the job,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office. President Donald Trump said the US could be wrapping up its war with Iran soon, and said this could happen within the next month. “I would say that within two weeks, maybe two weeks, maybe three,” Trump told reporters at the White House on Tuesday. “We’ll leave because there’s no reason for us to do this.” The conflict in Iran has been escalating…

Trump’s Iran diplomacy post jolts crypto markets higher as equities wobble

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Donald Trump posted about “serious discussions” with Iran’s new regime on Truth Social Monday, and crypto markets responded the way crypto markets do — by going up while everything else went sideways. Bitcoin jumped 2.2% in 24 hours to approach $68K, Ethereum surged 4.4% past $2,070, and Solana gained 3.4% toward $84. Meanwhile, equities wobbled like a shopping cart with a bad wheel, unsure whether to price in diplomacy or escalation. The post that moved markets Here’s the thing about Trump’s Truth Social dispatches: they’ve become their own asset class…

Oil and gold rally as Iran locks down key oil route to US and Israeli allies

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Oil markets continued to rally on Friday morning amid renewed strain in the Middle East. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), a key instrument of Iran’s military and regional strategy, declared that any movement through the Strait of Hormuz by vessels tied to US and Israeli allies would face a forceful response, state media FARS reported. The group said its navy had already intercepted and redirected three container ships attempting to pass through the corridor. The move raised concerns about prolonged interruptions on a crucial oil route. Brent and other…

Bitcoin slides under $69K as oil spikes on conflicting US Iran signals

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Bitcoin fell below $69,000 on Thursday morning as escalating tensions between the US and Iran weighed on global markets and pushed investors toward defensive positioning. The move followed a sharp jump in oil prices, with Brent crude rising more than 5% to briefly hit $108 per barrel before easing to around $105. The surge came as Washington and Tehran offered conflicting accounts on whether peace talks are underway, adding uncertainty around the trajectory of the conflict. The US has maintained that negotiations to end the war are continuing, while Iran…

Bitcoin rally hits wall as Iran clowns US talks

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Bitcoin’s push toward $72,000 stalled after Iran rebuffed ceasefire chatter, insisting that no talks have occurred since the war began in late February, state media FARS reported Wednesday. These comments directly oppose President Donald Trump’s claim on Monday that diplomatic talks were underway. Citing the discussions’ positive tone, Trump announced a five-day pause on any military strikes against Iran’s power and energy facilities while negotiations continue to move forward. Despite offers from regional and international mediators, Iran said it would continue its military defenses. Bullish momentum faltered as Iran shot…