Tag: Iran

Odds for US forces entering Iran by April 30 surge to 86.5% amid drone removal

admin

U.S. forces are removing Iranian attack drones threatening Americans and civilians. Odds for U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 have surged to 86.5% YES, up from 62% in the past day. This escalation in U.S. military operations aligns with rising odds for U.S. forces entering Iran. The April 30 market saw a significant increase, driven by Operation Epic Fury targeting Iranian assets. The December 31 market also rose to 90.5% YES from 72%, indicating expectations of deeper U.S. involvement. The 24-hour trading volume for these markets is $5.07M in…

Traders raise odds for US ground troops in Iran to 86% by April 30

admin

Alan Eyre claims seizing Iran’s enriched uranium would require risky ground forces. US forces entering Iran by April 30 is now at 86% YES, up from 62% just yesterday. Traders took Eyre’s comments seriously, driving the odds higher for US ground troop involvement in Iran. The April 30 market moved significantly, reflecting the increased likelihood of a ground operation. Eyre’s statement, while from a tier-3 source, suggests a possible escalation path aligning with prior military actions like Operation Epic Fury. The December 31 market sits at 90% YES, indicating strong…

Iraqi PMF forces enter Iran as US troop involvement odds surge to 86%

admin

Iraqi PMF forces have entered Iran to support the regime amid ongoing protests and potential conflict with the US. The odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 have surged to 86% YES, up from 62% just 24 hours ago. The sharp rise in odds indicates traders expect a higher chance of US troop involvement. The April 30 market gained 24 points overnight. Meanwhile, the December 31 market sits at 90% YES, a 4-point increase, suggesting long-term expectations for ground operations remain strong. The combined daily volume of these…

Odds for US forces entering Iran by April 30 rise to 86.5% after F-15E recovery

admin

U.S. forces have recovered a crew member from a downed F-15E inside Iranian territory, confirming ground operations. Odds for U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 are at 86.5% YES, up from 62% a day ago. The April 30 market surged due to the operation, with odds jumping 24 points in 24 hours. The most significant spike was 4 points at 2:14 PM. December 31 odds rose to 90.5%, up from 72% yesterday, indicating expectations for sustained ground presence. The market’s 24-hour USDC volume was $5,069,224, showing strong trader engagement.…

US considers seizing strategic islands near Iran, escalating tensions

admin

The U.S. is considering seizing strategic islands near Iran, escalating tensions. Ceasefire by April 7 sits at 1% YES, down from 2% yesterday and 12% a week ago. Odds for a ceasefire by April 15 are bleak at 6% YES, dropping from 8% over the last 24 hours. The April 30 market is at 18% YES, down from 24%. The proposal to seize islands, seen as “stationary and unsinkable aircraft carriers,” complicates the situation, suggesting no quick resolution. Expectations jump significantly between April 30 and May 31, with a 19-point…

US considers seizing strategic islands near Iran, ceasefire odds plummet

admin

The US is considering seizing strategic islands near Iran, escalating tensions. Odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 have dropped to 1% YES, down from 2% yesterday and 12% a week ago. This potential military action hits ceasefire prospects. The April 15 market fell to 6.5% YES from 8% yesterday. The April 30 odds dropped sharply from 24% to 17.5% in 24 hours. Traders expect significant developments in May, as shown by a 19-point jump between April 30 and May 31. The May 31 odds are now at 36.5%…

US forces’ entry into Iran by April 30 market jumps to 86% amid clashes

admin

U.S. and Iranian forces clashed in southwestern Iran during a U.S. mission to recover a missing F-15E crew member. The “US forces enter Iran by April 30” market now sits at 86% YES, up from 62% just 24 hours ago. The confirmation of U.S. ground operations inside Iran has shifted market odds significantly. The US forces enter Iran by April 30 market surged to 86% YES, indicating increased trader confidence in further ground operations. The December 31 market also rose to 90% YES, suggesting traders expect a sustained U.S. presence.…

US combat search and rescue team enters Iran, boosting military presence odds to 86%

admin

A U.S. combat search and rescue team has entered Iran to recover a missing F-15E crew member, boosting the odds of U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 to 86% YES, up from 62% just a day ago. The April 30 market saw a 24-point jump to 86% YES, indicating traders expect U.S. forces in Iran soon. The December 31 market also rose to 90.5% YES, up from 72%, suggesting a strong belief in long-term U.S. presence. April 30 market volume is at $4.16M USDC. It takes $84,737 to shift…

US combat search and rescue team confirmed inside Iran for F-15E recovery

admin

A U.S. combat search and rescue team is confirmed inside Iran to recover a missing F-15E crew member. US forces entering Iran by April 30 is now at 86% YES, up from 62% just 24 hours ago. The revelation of U.S. ground troops in Iranian territory led to a significant leap in market odds. The April 30 market jumped 24 points in a single day. The December 31 market saw a milder increase, sitting at 90.5% YES, up from 72%. Both markets reflect the expectation of continued U.S. military ground…

Market odds surge for US forces entering Iran by April 30 after clashes

admin

Clashes between Iranian forces and U.S. special forces, alongside a pilot evacuation, have increased market odds. US forces entering Iran by April 30 is now at 86.5% YES, up from 62% yesterday. The April 30 market jumped 4 points at 2:14 PM after news of direct confrontations. The December 31 market also rose to 90.5% YES, from 72% a day ago. Traders expect continued ground operations, with sharper increases in April odds suggesting imminent confirmation. Volume at $4.16M in USDC was traded on the April market, indicating strong interest. It…