The Iranian regime faces potential escalation after rejecting Trump’s offer, with the odds of the regime falling by June 30 at 13.5% YES, up from 12% yesterday. Traders are reacting to Iran’s rejection of US terms, which could paint Iran as an aggressor. The June 30 sub-market shows a modest increase, likely due to heightened tension rather than a clear path to regime collapse. Despite this uptick, the market remains bearish compared to a week ago when odds were at 20%, suggesting a recalibration of expectations around Iran’s stability. The…
Iran’s regime fall odds rise to 13.5% after rejecting Trump’s offer: sources
