Tag: Markets

Binance Wallet integrates prediction markets through Predict.fun

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Binance Wallet has integrated prediction markets through Predict.fun, adding event-based trading to the Binance app across crypto, sports, global events, and other categories. Prediction Markets are now integrated with Binance Wallet, provided by @predictdotfun. Trade outcomes across crypto, sports, global events, and more. We’re launching a user feedback campaign. Join and share now👇 1️⃣ Open the Binance App in [Exchange] view → Go to [Markets] →… pic.twitter.com/amjjHgUQI2 — Binance Wallet (@BinanceWallet) April 9, 2026 Binance said users can access the feature through the Markets section in Exchange view, marking a…

Democrats Question CFTC Chair on Insider Trading in Prediction Markets

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The seven House members may have affirmed the commission‘s authority over prediction markets, but asked questions about its inaction on insider trading. Seven members of the US House of Representatives sent a letter to Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Michael Selig, asking for information on the agency’s inaction on insider trading on prediction markets and event contracts related to war and conflicts. In a Monday letter, the seven US lawmakers said that the CFTC had the authority under the Commodities Exchange Act “to apply its rules and regulations for…

Turn Prediction Markets Into A Decision-Making Operating System

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Opinion by: Jesus Rodriguez, co-founder and CTO at Sentora. Human coordination is bottlenecked by a terrible algorithm. When a DAO, a corporation, or a nation-state makes a decision, it relies on “manual feature engineering” like committees and vibes-based voting. High-dimensional, emotional inputs are compressed through the protocol of human politics and hope for a decent output.  It’s slow, it does not scale and there is rarely a penalty for being wrong. Decades ago, Robin Hanson proposed a mathematically elegant alternative called Futarchy: “Vote on values, bet on beliefs.” You define…

Bitcoin rises as markets await Trump’s Iran deadline, June 30 price target in focus: ZeroHedge

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Bitcoin’s value increased as markets remained cautious ahead of Trump’s Iran deadline. The odds for Bitcoin exceeding $100,000 by June 30 show moderate likelihood, indicating a flight to safety amid geopolitical risks. A report from @zerohedge suggests Bitcoin’s rise acts as a hedge against macro risks, with tensions escalating between the US, Israel, and Iran. The market is focused on the June 30 Bitcoin price target, with odds showing optimism for Bitcoin’s strength amid the geopolitical climate. No trading volume was recorded in the Bitcoin price target market over the…

Iran War Bets Put Crypto Prediction Markets on the Macro Map

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Prediction markets rapidly repriced the odds of US escalation in the Iran conflict, offering a real-time signal of geopolitical risk for traders. Odds on platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi shifted in real time as President Donald Trump paired new threats with signals of possible negotiations on Sunday, while Bitcoin (BTC) rose more than 3.5% on Monday. Crypto prediction markets are no longer a sideshow during periods of geopolitical tension, with professional desks increasingly using them to gauge macro risk, according to Sygnum Bank chief investment officer Fabian Dori.  …

Prediction Markets Are Testing Legal Limits in Strict Asian Markets

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Prediction markets are pushing into Asia’s largest economies, even as local gambling laws place strict limits on betting activities. Asia represents a combination of scale, active retail participation and limited local alternatives, making it too large to ignore despite regulatory risks. That’s a similar pattern seen in crypto, where technology moved faster than regulation and licensing frameworks, prompting exchanges to enter markets before clear rules were in place.  Like many startups, the industry’s heavyweights adopted the “better to ask for forgiveness than permission” approach to scale. Polymarket, one of the…

Polymarket Introduces Equity and Commodity Markets Powered by Pyth

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Polymarket has added markets tied to equities, commodities and exchange-traded funds, using price data from blockchain oracle provider Pyth Network as the resolution source to determine outcomes for daily contracts. The new markets include daily up-or-down and closing price contracts for major equity indexes, commodities such as gold and oil, and a range of US-listed stocks, with outcomes settled automatically based on Pyth’s real-time price feeds. The contracts reset at the end of each trading session. According to the announcement, the offering includes more than a dozen US-listed stocks, including…

CFTC Sues 3 US States, Claims Sole Authority Over Prediction Markets

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The Trump administration is suing Illinois, Connecticut, Arizona, and their gaming regulators over the federal government’s right to regulate prediction markets. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the US Department of Justice filed separate lawsuits on Thursday against the three states. In 2025, those states and their gaming regulators sent cease and desist letters to prediction platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket, claiming that the event contracts offered by the platforms violated state gambling laws and licensing requirements. The federal financial regulator’s lawsuit against Illinois Governor JB Pritzker, Attorney General…

DeFi Is Optimizing For gas, Not For Markets

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Opinion by: João Garcia, DevReal lead at Cartesi.Decentralized finance presents itself as a transparent alternative to Wall Street. Yet, what it has largely reconstructed is a simplified version of finance, engineered less around market resilience than around the constraints of gas fees. That trade-off, once treated as a technical footnote, is increasingly shaping the limits of what DeFi can become. So long as computational minimalism remains the overriding priority, financial robustness will remain secondary, and periods of market stress will continue to expose that imbalance. When markets move faster than…

Genius Group sells entire Bitcoin stash to clear debt, plans treasury rebuild when markets favor

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Genius Group, which delivers AI-powered learning and acceleration programs to individuals, enterprises, and governments, has sold all of its Bitcoin reserves to fully repay its $8.5 million debt, the company announced today. The firm plans a future rebuild of its Bitcoin treasury when market conditions are more favorable. Genius Group posted Q1 2026 operational revenue of $3.3 million, marking a 171% year-over-year increase, with gross profit up 228% to $2.0 million. Net profit from operations reached $2.7 million, reversing a prior-year loss, supported by a strategic focus on higher-margin educational…