Explosions near Revolutionary Guard base raise odds of regime fall to 14% by June 30

Explosions occurred near a Revolutionary Guard base in southwestern Iran, pushing the odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 to 14% YES, up from 10% yesterday. Traders reacted cautiously to the news. The regime fall market saw a slight increase, with odds at 14%. The April 30 market for US forces entering Iran holds steady at 66% YES after a turbulent week. The regime fall market traded $54,158 in USDC over the past day. It requires $165,330 to shift this market by 5 percentage points, indicating strong resistance.…